Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.190368 0.212434 0.235321 0.260778 0.288245 0.316932 0.349105
2025-01-12 0.160458 0.190474 0.223001 0.260683 0.302947 0.348701 0.401790
2025-01-19 0.137419 0.172381 0.211756 0.258992 0.313716 0.374723 0.447464
2025-01-26 0.121528 0.160271 0.205432 0.261290 0.327823 0.403844 0.496549
2025-02-02 0.111368 0.153612 0.204382 0.268863 0.347506 0.439239 0.553207
2025-02-09 0.099859 0.144002 0.198665 0.269884 0.358711 0.464340 0.597840
2025-02-16 0.091620 0.137648 0.196221 0.274296 0.373618 0.493726 0.647783
2025-02-23 0.086224 0.134431 0.197290 0.282783 0.393425 0.529166 0.705477
2025-03-02 0.077420 0.125766 0.190515 0.280516 0.399144 0.546917 0.741393
2025-03-09 0.070599 0.119233 0.186025 0.280746 0.407699 0.568027 0.781521
2025-03-16 0.063999 0.112423 0.180618 0.279264 0.413644 0.585616 0.817204
2025-03-23 0.060304 0.109580 0.180475 0.284750 0.428735 0.615022 0.868204
2025-03-30 0.055239 0.104405 0.176906 0.285579 0.437936 0.637468 0.911426
2025-04-06 0.050515 0.099346 0.173149 0.285854 0.446223 0.658730 0.953366
2025-04-13 0.045777 0.093831 0.168324 0.284259 0.451698 0.676183 0.990444
2025-04-20 0.042510 0.090461 0.166505 0.286850 0.462938 0.701427 1.038082
2025-04-27 0.040803 0.089608 0.168484 0.295046 0.482206 0.737787 1.100996
2025-05-04 0.037706 0.086023 0.165903 0.296184 0.491266 0.760232 1.145447
2025-05-11 0.035610 0.084051 0.165760 0.300941 0.505558 0.790009 1.200124
2025-05-18 0.034511 0.083830 0.168428 0.310051 0.526334 0.829040 1.267844
2025-05-25 0.031371 0.079432 0.163877 0.307630 0.529925 0.843989 1.302699
2025-06-01 0.028965 0.076227 0.161130 0.307883 0.537383 0.864373 1.345177
2025-06-08 0.026461 0.072574 0.157373 0.306297 0.541921 0.880562 1.381925